Manufacturing in Lincolnshire is on the rise

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Manufacturing companies across Greater Lincolnshire are cautiously optimistic as export sales rise within the county.

A report released by the Confederation of British Industry (CBI) on November 1 reflects this optimism across the country in its Quarterly SME trends survey.

The survey of 423 firms reported that total new orders edged up slightly in the three months to October, while output rose modestly.

In particular, exports orders were flat on the quarter, but this marked the first time that they had not fallen since mid-2014. Robust growth in export orders is anticipated over the next three months, with expected growth the strongest since the data series began in October 1988.

However in Lincolnshire, manufacturing companies have reported a rise in exports.

Justin Brown, Enterprise Commissioner for Lincolnshire County Council, said: “Manufacturing is an important sector in Lincolnshire, employing around 38,000 people in some of our most technologically-advanced businesses.

“In the last three months, we’ve seen an increase in exporting order books for manufacturers, with them taking advantage of the favourable exchange rates. So the current position is one of quiet optimism. Looking past that, there are too many unknowns to make confident predictions about the future.”

But while optimism about export prospects over the year ahead grew strongly at the fastest pace since April 2014, nationally, SME manufacturers reported that average unit costs at home are rising (at the fastest pace since April 2013) and are expected to continue to increase over the next three months.

Numbers employed have grown for the 14th consecutive quarter, but at the slowest pace in almost two years. Headcount is expected to be flat over the next three months.

Investment intentions have improved, following a deterioration in the wake of the referendum. Planned spending on buildings has moved above its long-run average, while firms expect to keep expenditure on plant and machinery unchanged. However, concerns over labour shortages limiting capital spending have risen, to levels similar to those seen at the end of 2007.

Rain Newton-Smith, CBI Chief Economist, said: “Smaller manufacturers are increasingly confident about their export prospects in the months ahead as they continue to reap benefits from the weaker pound. But this is also leading to a rise in costs at home.

“While investment intentions have improved, uncertainty among businesses remains high, and so the government must prioritise measures to ensure that firms keep investing ahead, like removing new plant and machinery spending from business rate calculations.

“Setting the right environment for firms to innovate must be at the heart of the Autumn Statement, so the government should commit to a long-term target for R&D spending of 3% of GDP, getting behind Innovate UK and our catapult centres.”